Liverpool vs Chelsea Match Preview
Both of these teams come into this game in good form in the league, and this looks set to be an entertaining game. Liverpool blew a 3-0 lead in Sevilla in midweek, while Chelsea hit four again. Infogol’s Analyst previews the big game, using underlying expected goals data to produce the best bets.
Since they were beaten heavily by Tottenham in October, Liverpool have improved both their process and results, recording wins in the league over Huddersfield, West Ham and Southampton resulting in an aggregate score of 10-1. They have generated a host of chances in all of those games (2.6 xG/90), and look a real force going forward with Sadio Mane, Roberto Firmino and Mohammad Salah linking up very well.
According to Infogol’s expected table, Liverpool should sit second and not fifth based on their performances to date, as their process has been very impressive. Though there have been question marks about their defence throughout this season, they have been unfortunate to have conceded as many goals as they have, with 23 goals conceded and just 18.4 xG – suggesting they aren’t as bad in defence as what is being portrayed.
Jurgen Klopp’s team will continue to play attacking football, and in front of a full house at Anfield they are expected to contribute to an entertaining game.
Chelsea’s results have picked up after a mediocre start, having won their last four straight league games. They look to have got their mojo back since the return of N’Golo Kante, and have conceded fewer chances since he got back in the team. They have the third best defensive record so far this season, but on average they are conceding 1.1 xG per-game.
They have been fortunate in attack so far this season, though, having scored 23 goals with an xG total of just 15.9 xG, suggesting they have been either clinical, lucky or both up to this point. Eden Hazard looks in great form ahead of this match, as has Alvaro Morata, and they have the ability to cause Liverpool plenty of problems.
Everything is looking much rosier for Chelsea after their recent good run of form, but they have been fortunate with some of their results, and should be sixth in the table according to Infogol’s expected goals table.
Liverpool win @ 11/10
Liverpool have impressed more than Chelsea so far this season, and as they continue to create a lot of good-scoring opportunities they are fancied to get the three points in this match.
BTTS @ 8/13
Both of these teams have plenty of attacking flair, but also have potentially leaky defences, so a game with both teams hitting the net is expected.