La Liga GW4 Review

Barcelona maintained their 100% start to the season, Real Madrid get back to winning ways and Atletico win in their first home game in the Wanda Metropolitano. Plenty of goals once again in La Liga, and our Analyst reviews the action, using expected goals (xG) to assess performances and not just results to paint a clearer picture of the week’s matches, including selecting a Team to Back next time.


Actual vs Expected Goal (xG) totals La Liga GW4


Sevilla picked up their third win in succession by beating Girona last time out, though their 1-0 win was the most ‘unfair’ result of GW4. They created good chances of their own and took the lead through Luis Muriel, but rode their luck, with Girona hitting the crossbar from a last minute penalty. Even without the penalty, Sevilla still conceded a lot of good opportunities, something they will need to work on in the coming weeks.


Loic Remy’s late goal was enough to give Las Palmas all three points against Athletic Bilbao, and help them register back-to-back wins. They were slightly fortunate, though, to get all three points from what was a very tight and even game. Both teams had good chances, and a draw would have been a fair result.


Loic Remy has hit the ground running at Las Palmas


Barcelona’s 2-1 win over Getafe was the third most ‘unfair’ result of GW4, after what was an uncharacteristically poor attacking display. They generated only 0.76 xG, their lowest xG total in a single match since their Champions League defeat to Atletico Madrid in 2016. Getafe once again put in an eye-catching performance, and were unlucky to come away empty handed. Barca will hope this performance was a one off.


Espanyol and Eibar registered home wins against Celta Vigo and Leganes respectively, with the aforementioned fortunate to come away with all three points from what was a tight encounter. Villarreal are beginning to impress, and they beat Alaves 3-0 in what was a relatively comfortable win.


Villarreal finding their feet


Betis made it two home wins from two matches thanks to a solid display against Deportivo (2-1), Levante held Valencia to a draw (1-1) in the Valencia derby, while Real Madrid got back to winning ways in emphatic style (3-1), ending Real Sociedad’s 100% start to the season in the process. Atletico Madrid’s 1-0 win against Malaga was the ‘fairest’ result of the weekend, as Malaga’s struggles continue.


GW5 Team to BackVillarreal

Villarreal look to have found their feet after a sluggish start by their standards, picking up three wins in a week (including in Europa League). Their process is good, and Carlos Bacca and Cedric Bakambu look to be firing on all cylinders. They host an Espanyol team that was fortunate to win against Celta Vigo, and look a good bet at 3/4 to get another win.


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