Brazil Serie A GW17 Review
GW17 of Brazil’s Serie A came to an end on Monday, with things remaining tight at both the top and bottom of the table. Using expected goals (xG), Infogol’s Analyst takes a look at the action, assessing performances and not just results. The Analyst will aim to paint a clearer picture of the week’s matches, including selecting a Team to Watch for GW18.
Actual vs Expected Goal (xG) totals GW17
Corinthians leader remains at eight points after both they and Gremio drew 1-1 at the weekend. Timão remain unbeaten this season, but were once again very fortunate to get away with a point against Flamengo, as they conceded a host of chances (2.11 xG) while creating very few (0.40 xG) in what was one of their worst defensive displays of the season so far.
Gremio can count themselves unlucky not to have closed the gap on Corinthians, as they were held by Santos. They were dominant throughout, generating a lot of opportunities, and conceding from a low-probability effort, as Santos generated just 0.26 xG. If these results would have gone the way the performances would have suggested, the title race would look very different, but don’t think it’s over just yet.
Corinthians getting the luck – Shot Maps of Corinthians vs Flamengo, and Gremio vs Santos
Cruzeiro have been performing very well in recent weeks, and have found a level of consistency, but once again find themselves failing to get the result their performance warranted. They were held by Vitoria in a goalless draw, with Infogol suggesting Cruzeiro were very unlucky in this match.
Sao Paulo look to have turned a corner in recent weeks and find themselves unbeaten in three matches after a very, very late comeback against Botafogo. They scored three goals in the last five minutes to seal a 4-3 win, and a deserved one at that. They created a lot of good chances against a disappointing Botafogo team, and that win moved Sao Paulo out of the bottom four.
Sao Paulo looking up
Palmeiras and Sport Recife kept their good form going, and kept themselves in the top six, after victories over Avai and Bahia respectively. Palmeiras did just enough to get the three points, with new signing Deyverson getting off the mark. Sport Recife deservedly beat Bahia away from home in a game which was very one-sided. They generated a lot of good chances once again, and are definitely a team to keep an eye on in future game weeks.
Atletico Mineiro put their bad week behind them to bounce back from back-to-back defeats thanks to a 2-0 victory away at Coritiba. They had two penalties, only one of which was converted, and created a host of chances, in what was their best attacking display of the season so far. Coritiba were very underwhelming, and now find themselves in the bottom four.
Atletico Mineiro bounce back
Atletico Goianiense and Atletico Paranaense, who were both in the bottom four at the start of the game week, both picked up deserved away wins after very strong performances. Goianiense beat Chapecoense thanks to a late goal, but it was nothing less than they deserved after another very good performance. They have been improving week by week, and now have a result to show for a strong performance – suggesting they are not to be written off just yet.
Paranaense beat Vasco da Gama on their travels, ending a six match winless run, to move themselves out of the relegation zone. They were defensively resolute once again, conceding very few chances, as they look to kick on.
GW18 Team to Watch – Sao Paulo
After another great performance showing grit, determination and, more importantly - a cutting edge, Sao Paulo are the team to watch in GW18. They are improving every week, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see them make a big push up the table.