Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool – Match Preview
The big match of the weekend is Sunday's game at Wembley, as Liverpool travel to face Tottenham Hotspur on the crest of a wave after a 7-0 Champions League win in midweek. Infogol’s Analyst previews the game, using underlying expected goal data to produce the best bets.
Like most teams who manage to gain a draw at the Bernabeu, there is always going to be an element of good luck involved, however Infogol data clearly shows that Tottenham were fortunate to escape with a 1-1 draw against Real Madrid in midweek, the home team having had enough good chances to record nearly 3xG.
However, there was nothing flattering about Spurs’ 1-0 win at home to Bournemouth last weekend – the opposite if anything – and that was their fourth deserved win in a row after victories against West Ham, APOEL and Huddersfield.
They may have struggled for goals at Wembley so far in the Premier League, but, in Harry Kane, who has six goals in eight league games so far this season, Spurs have one of the world’s hottest strikers and the talisman figure will likely punish any lapse from their opponents at the back.
Liverpool went into their grudge match with Man Utd last weekend with just one win in seven matches in all competitions, and a lack of confidence appeared to show in their finishing, a loss of composure costing them a couple of dropped points despite creating several clear-cut chances and being clearly the better (and more attacking) side.
There was no such wastefulness in Slovenia during the week, a 7-0 victory over Maribor not flattering Liverpool in any way, and there is a strong possibility that the frustration of several unfair results – including draws with Burnley, Spartak Moscow and Newcastle - has now been blown away. Philippe Coutinho, who has scored four goals in his last five games, is now approaching full fitness after a spell on the sidelines, and will be key for the visitors.
At the other end of the pitch, however, Liverpool continue to present opportunities to their opponents - even a tepid Man Utd had a golden chance to score last weekend, though Romelu Lukaku couldn’t convert. Such generosity against Spurs could spell disaster.
Both these teams have impressed in attack so far this season, so expect a game with plenty of goalmouth action, however Tottenham have been more clinical and that could give them a crucial edge. Liverpool have a good record in this fixture in recent years, but this looks a very strong and compact Spurs side.
Tottenham Hotspur to win @ 23/20