Three League Treble
The Infogol Analyst uses statistics and data to select the best bet from each of the Premier League, Championship and La Liga this weekend, producing a hat-trick of tips.
Bristol City vs Millwall – Saturday 3pm
Bristol City scored a late equaliser away at Brentford to get themselves a deserved point in midweek and they have been performing very well in recent matches, unlucky not have more points on the board than their current total. Consistent chance creation is something Bristol City have excelled at over the past few seasons, and it’s something that makes them a dangerous opponent to anyone in the Championship. Millwall have also been unfortunate not to have picked up more points, including a defeat to Ipswich in which they generated a host of opportunities while their opponents created few but scored from low-probability efforts. It was the same story on the opening day against Nottingham Forest, where they bombarded the Forest goal with high-quality chances, but failed to take advantage. Expect a high-scoring game, with both teams hitting the net.
Best Bet: BTTS @ 4/6
Huddersfield vs Newcastle – Sunday 1.30pm
Huddersfield’s first game in the Premier League couldn’t have gone any better, beating Crystal Palace 3-0 away from home. The game was very even in terms of xG, but Huddersfield played very well once they went ahead thanks to an own goal, and were impressively clinical thereafter. Newcastle were comfortably beaten by Tottenham in their curtain raiser, a game which was swung in favour of their opponents thanks to Jonjo Shelvey’s needless sending off early in the second half. Newcastle had looked very compact in defence prior to the sending off, but Spurs controlled the game thereafter, settling the result after 70 minutes thanks to goals from Dele Alli and Ben Davies. Shelvey will be a big miss for Newcastle in this game, but new-signing Joselu will be available and may get the nod. A tense affair is expected, so don’t expect many goals in Huddersfield’s first home match in the Premier League.
Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 4/6
Bilbao vs Getafe – Sunday 5.15pm
Bilbao finished last season in seventh place, qualifying for the Europa League thanks to Barcelona winning the Copa Del Rey. They were unfortunate to finish seventh, as they were the fifth-best team in the league according to xG, having a really solid process of creating chances on a consistent basis. Due to their ‘Basque-only’ policy, they haven’t signed anyone over the summer, but they haven’t lost any key players either meaning their process should be similar this season. The only big loss for Bilbao has been their manager Ernesto Valverde, who has joined Barcelona, but as expected they have promoted from within, giving ‘B’ team coach Jose Angel Ziganda the chance to impress. Meanwhile, Getafe came up through the play-offs of Segunda to secure a return to the top flight. They have brought in a lot of players over the summer, but this is a tough first game, and Bilbao look good value to get the win.
Best Bet: Bilbao to win @ 1/2