Leicester vs Stoke Preview: Plenty of goals expected

 Leicester take on Stoke in Saturday’s early Premier League game. Infogol’s Analyst takes a look at both teams, using expected goals to find the best bets.


Leicester Expected Goals (xG)

Leicester were beaten 5-1 in their last league outing by Manchester City, a game in which they registered only 0.2 xGF, however that was a blip as The Foxes have actually averaged 1.4 xGF per game this season.

According to Infogol’s expected goals table, Leicester have been the eighth-best team in the league, and it looks like it will be another comfortable mid-table finish for Claude Puel’s side.

Vardy Leicester's main contributor

Jamie Vardy remains their leading marksman, and has hit the net in their last four league games. He has 10 xG, and is the highest contributor to Leicester’s attacking play (12.1 xG). There is a good chance that Vardy will be the player to inflict damage on Stoke once again; he’s scored in this fixture for the past two seasons.

Premier League xG table

Stoke Expected Goals (xG)

Nothing is going right for Stoke at the moment. They sank into the relegation places after drawing 1-1 with Brighton last time out, with Charlie Adam missing a last minute penalty, which could prove costly.

One win in eight games leaves them in desperate need of three points, and Stoke’s decline has been explained in Infogol’s ‘Premier League State of Play’ article, written by Mark Taylor. Stoke’s process has been getting worse, and needs to turn around if they are to stay-up this season.

Paul Lambert’s team have the worst defensive record in the league this season, according to expected goals (48.0 xG). They consistently concede chances, and, against a good attacking Leicester team, they may find life difficult.



Leicester can take advantage of a weak Stoke defence and rack up the goals in a high-scoring game. Jamie Vardy is expected to get on the scoresheet again, and looks a good price at 16/5 to score first.


Recommended bets:

Over 2.5 goals @ 5/6

Vardy to score first @ 16/5



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