Premier League GW9 Review
The big upset of GW9 was undoubtedly Huddersfield’s win against Manchester United, while Ronald Koeman was relieved of his duties as Everton manager after a thumping home defeat to Arsenal. Infogol’s Analyst reviews the weekend’s games, using underlying expected goals stats to assess whether a performance justified the result.
The most ‘unfair’ result of the weekend was Newcastle’s 1-0 win over Crystal Palace. It was a late Mikel Merino goal that gained Newcastle the three points, though they were fortunate to do so having created very few chances amounting to just 0.36 xG, with Infogol calculating they would fail to score seven times out of ten. Palace were once again unfortunate, and their performances have been good so far this season, so their results should pick up.
Bournemouth picked up their second win of the season by beating Stoke 2-1, though they were fortunate to come away with the three points as they conceded the better chances. They rode their luck after going 2-0 up, but hung on to get a much needed win. Stoke once again created good chances, and they too will begin picking up results if they maintain the same process.
Chelsea were once again fortunate to win, this time against Watford, coming from 2-1 down to secure a 4-2 win. They rode their luck throughout, with Richarlison missing several high-quality chances, emphasising how vulnerable Chelsea’s defence is looking at the moment. They continue to concede a lot of chances, and backing them in the coming weeks isn’t advised.
Brighton piled pressure on Slavan Bilic with a 3-0 win at West Ham, while Huddersfield shocked Manchester United thanks to a fine display in a 2-1 home victory. Tottenham comfortably beat Liverpool 4-1, helped by some poor defending from the Reds – something which is occurring all too often.
Arsenal generated a huge 4.34 xG in their 5-2 win over Everton, a result that spelled the end for Ronald Koeman. Sofiane Boufal’s incredible goal was the difference between Southampton and West Brom, while Michael Appleton got a win in his first game in temporary charge of Leicester by beating Swansea 2-1. The ‘fairest’ result of the weekend was Manchester City’s 3-0 win over Burnley as they once again generated a host of chances (3.84 xG).
GW10 Team to Back – Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace have been unfortunate so far this season. Their performances have been good and results are expected to come – starting with GW10. It’s a huge game for both them and West Ham, but the home team look good value to get the three points.