Premier League GW16 Review

It was the Blues that were left happy on Super Sunday, with Everton gaining a point at Anfield, and Manchester City extending their lead at the top of the table to 11 points. Swansea win to move off the bottom, Burnley maintain pace with Spurs, and Benteke’s costly error meant that there were plenty of talking points once again, with our Analyst reviewing the action.

 

Actual vs Expected Goal (xG) totals Premier League GW16

 

West Ham gained their first win under David Moyes in surprising fashion, beating Chelsea at the London Stadium. Marko Arnautovic’s early goal proved enough for the Hammers, as they limited Chelsea to very few high-quality chances. This was the most ‘unfair’ result of the weekend, mainly based upon the fact that West Ham created very little (0.3 xG) but found the net. There are still improvements needed for both teams based on this performance.

 

Burnley continued their great form with a 1-0 win over Watford, though they were once again fortunate to come away with all three points. Sean Dyche’s men generated just 0.4 xG, creating just low-quality chances once again. Watford’s cause wasn’t helped by being reduced to 10-men, but they can count themselves unfortunate to come away empty handed.

 

Crystal Palace put in one of the performances of the week (according to xG), as they generated 4.5 xG against Bournemouth. Christian Benteke’s late penalty miss meant that they didn’t convert this superiority into three points, eventually drawing 2-2. They continue to fail to take their chances, which is the only reason they are in a relegation battle, as their process remains good. Bournemouth can count themselves lucky in this one.

 

Benteke miss costs Palace

 

Newcastle and Leicester shared five goals in an entertaining game on Saturday night, with the Foxes coming out on top 3-2. They can count themselves fortunate to have collected all three points in this match, with Ayoze Perez’s late own-goal gifting them a third straight win. Jurgen Klopp’s decision to rest key players against Everton ultimately back-fired, as they were held to a 1-1 draw at Anfield. Liverpool did enough to win this game, but failed to take their chances before gifting the Toffees a chance to equalise from the penalty spot. Plenty of food for thought for Klopp.

 

Arsenal needed a late Olivier Giroud goal to earn them a point against Southampton, after what was a very below-par performance. They created very few high-quality chances, and were fortunate to get a point. Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City made it a Premier League record 14 straight wins by beating their rivals on their own patch, and deservedly so after dominating the game and creating the better of the chances. Title over?

 

City march 11 clear

 

Huddersfield put in their best performance of the season to beat Brighton 2-0, their best attacking display so far according to xG. Tottenham thumped a sorry Stoke 5-1 at Wembley, generating a host of chances in a deserved victory, while Swansea ended a seven match winless run by beating West Brom – with the Baggies very poor in this one.

 

GW17 Team to BackCrystal Palace

Though Crystal Palace will undoubtedly be reeling from the disappointment of the weekend, if they continue to perform in the same fashion, the results will follow. They host a Watford team that are winless in three matches, and the Eagles look a good price at 5/4 to get the win.

 

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