Premier League GW11 Review

Manchester City were the big winners on Super Sunday, moving eight points clear at the top of the table, while West Ham slipped into the relegation zone. Our Analyst will review the action, assessing performances and not just results to gain a better understanding of a team’s process.



Actual vs Expected Goal (xG) totals Premier League GW11


Burnley were in full ‘smash and grab’ mode on Saturday, with Sam Vokes’ goal earning them all three points away at Southampton. Sean Dyche’s team managed just five shots totalling 0.19 xG, with Infogol calculating that they would have hit the net just 17% of the time from the chances they created – so four times out of five they would fail to score. Their 1-0 win was the most ‘unfair’ result of the weekend, but leaves the Clarets in 7th place.


Brighton also registered a 1-0 away win, as they beat Swansea. Glenn Murray’s first-half strike was enough for the win, though they had to weather a Swansea storm in which the home team created some good chances (1.53 xG). But Brighton hung on to extend their unbeaten run to four matches, as for Swansea, they sit second bottom.


Brighton hang on for three points


Huddersfield and West Brom were separated by a moment of magic from Rajiv van La Parra, in what was a dull game with very few chances at either end (0.41 – 0.36 xG). Tottenham capped off a good week with a narrow 1-0 win over Crystal Palace, though the visitors did have some good chances of their own, and could have easily come away with a point.


Liverpool thumped West Ham 4-1 after a very good display. This was one defeat too many for Slaven Bilic, who was sacked as a result of bad form that has seen them slip into the bottom three. Bournemouth beat Newcastle 1-0 to register their second successive away win, and a deserved one at that, as they created the better of the chances (0.80 – 1.61 xG) to move out of the relegation zone.


End of the road for Bilic


Stoke and Leicester shared four goals in an even game, as both teams created good chances. Peter Crouch once again came off the bench to great effect, as he netted the equaliser for Stoke. There was very late drama at Goodison Park, as Everton came back from two goals down to win 3-2. It was a tale of two injury time penalties, as Leighton Baines put the Toffees 3-2 up before Tom Cleverley missed an even later spot-kick that would have earned Watford a point. In the end, Everton deserved the victory, though they continue to look vulnerable at the back.


Super Sunday didn’t disappoint, with Manchester City and Chelsea registering deserved home wins. City once again generated a lot of good chances (2.24 xG), while conceding few (0.38 xG). Chelsea were impressive in their win over Manchester United, with Alvaro Morata once again popping up with an important goal.


GW12 Team to Back – Crystal Palace

Palace once again gave a good account of themselves in defeat, generating some good chances against one of the best defences in the league. They host an Everton side that has been struggling of late, and one which look vulnerable in defence. Palace look a good price at 6/4 to get the win.


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