PaddyPower Hotshot Jackpot selections: Aguero and Kane to open scoring

Infogol’s Analyst uses expected goals (xG) data to provide the best advice when choosing your six selections for PaddyPower’s Hotshot Jackpot, where you can play for free for a chance to win £100,000.


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Everton vs Brighton

First Goalscorer – Glenn Murray

Glenn Murray is in the form of his life at the moment, scoring what turned out to be the winner against Arsenal last weekend. He has five in five, and is averaging 0.5 xG per game this season, and looks sure to get chances against this vulnerable Everton defence.


West Ham vs Burnley

First Goalscorer – Marko Arnautovic

This is a big game for West Ham in their fight for survival, and there has been no player more important for them this season than Marko Arnautovic. He is their leader in expected goals this season, and if West Ham are to create any good chances in this match, there is a high chance they will fall to the Austrian.


Chelsea vs Crystal Palace

First Goalscorer – Eden Hazard

Chelsea earned plenty of criticism last week for their performance against Manchester City, a game in which Eden Hazard was set up to fail. He should have more help in this match and much more of the ball, and is expected to get on the scoresheet as a result.


Arsenal vs Watford

First Goalscorer – Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Arsenal got a much needed win against AC Milan in midweek. With their main striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang ineligible to play in that game, he will be fresh for this match. Despite Arsenal not being at their best in his short time at Arsenal, Aubameyang is averaging 0.5 xG per game, so looks a good bet to open the scoring.


Bournemouth vs Tottenham

First Goalscorer – Harry Kane

Harry Kane opened the scoring against Crystal Palace a few games ago, and he is the leader in expected goal involvement (xGI) in the Premier League this season. He always gets chances thanks to a good supply from midfield, and will do so again here.

Premier League xGI Leaders

Stoke vs Manchester City

First Goalscorer – Sergio Aguero

Sergio Aguero sits third on the expected goal involvement table this season, but has played less minutes than both Harry Kane and Mo Salah. He does, though, play in the best attacking team in the league, and will get plenty of chances against a defensively weak Stoke team.


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