EFL Championship GW32 Review: Fulham’s march continues

 Infogol’s Analyst takes a look at the weekend’s main talking points in the EFL Championship, using expected goals to assess the fairness of the results.



Actual vs Expected goal totals EFL Championship GW32

Fulham got their eight win in 10 matches by beating the EFL Championship’s ‘in-form’ team Aston Villa at the weekend. Before the game Villa had won their last seven games, but Fulham proved too strong, but were fortunate to win by a two-goal margin in what was the most ‘unfair’ result of the weekend. Sam Johnstone’s gift of a goal for Fulham’s second will undoubtedly have something to do with that, with Infogol calculating that Floyd Ayite had less than 1% chance of scoring. Fulham up to fifth.

Fulham vs Aston Villa shot map: Ayite’s goal barely visible

Burton were unfortunate not to come away with three points against 10-man Nottingham Forest, though they had a few chances, the best of which fell to Darren Bent in the 73rd minute (34%). Fellow strugglers Sunderland were beaten again, this time by Brentford, but they were unfortunate not to get on the scoresheet and make for an interesting finish to the game.

Both Sunday matches (Norwich vs Ipswich, Leeds vs Bristol City) ended in draws and rightly so according to expected goals, with both sides generating similar quality of chances in both matches. Bristol City once again blew a lead, this time being 2-0 up at half-time, are they beginning to wobble at a crucial stage of the season?


Recent blog entries