Chelsea vs West Brom Match Preview: Chelsea to bounce back in a cagey game

Chelsea take on West Brom at the bridge, with both desperately needing a victory. Chelsea are under pressure after two defeats, while West Brom are rock bottom of the table. Infogol’s Analyst previews the game, generating the best bets for the game.

 

 

Chelsea

Antonio Conte has become under increasing pressure over the last few weeks, mainly thanks to two heavy defeats to Bournemouth and Watford last week. Read our Analyst’s article on ‘The Chelsea Conundrum’ assessing Conte’s reign for more detail.

That 4-1 defeat at Vicarage Road was a humiliating loss, and for the most part, Chelsea’s players looked disinterested and disorganised. They generated only 0.8 xG in that game, their lowest single game total in 15 matches, suggesting they were nowhere near their best.

Shot map vs Watford

Something needs to change for Chelsea and fast, or they risk missing out on the top four. They have a negative expected goal difference over their last four matches (-2.1 xGD), so their performances have dipped as well as their results. Will that change happen in this game?

 

West Brom

West Brom had a huge game last weekend against fellow strugglers Southampton, at home, but were beaten 3-2 leaving them bottom of the table and, after the weekend’s results, seven points from safety. They have won just three games so far this season, and they really need to add to this total soon or risk being the first team relegated this season.

Their performances have improved under Alan Pardew, but even when Tony Pulis was in charge, the Baggies were mid-table in Infogol’s expected table, and that still remains the case as they sit 10th. They have the sixth best defensive record this season according to xG, having conceded only 33.8 xG, and can make life difficult for Chelsea.

West Brom can be tough to break down

In Alan Pardew’s 12 games in charge, West Brom have generated 14.4 xG and conceded 15.3 xG, an impressive record given that they have played Liverpool, Manchester United, Arsenal and Manchester City in that time. They pose a real threat to Chelsea.

 

Conclusion

Chelsea are expected to bounce back in this game, though it may take them a while to break down this stubborn West Brom team.

 

Recommended bets:

BTTS ‘no’ @ 17/20

This is expected to be a tight game, with at least one team failing to get on the scoresheet the selected bet.

 

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