Championship GW16 Review

Wolves and Sheffield United won again in GW16, and were two of nine home wins. Sunderland are now rock bottom of the Championship after losing the Tees-Wear derby to Middlesbrough. Our Analyst reviews the action, assessing performances and not just results to gain a greater understanding of a team’s process.


Actual vs Expected Goal (xG) totals Championship GW16


Burton ended a seven match winless run by beating Millwall 1-0 on Saturday, though they once again struggled to create many chances, generating just 0.43 xG. They were helped by Millwall being reduced to 10-men just before the hour mark, though they still conceded a lot of good chances in what was the most ‘unfair’ result of the weekend.


Middlesbrough registered their third straight win by beating Sunderland in the Tees-Wear derby, though they were fortunate to come away with all three points having conceded good chances. Sunderland continue to perform well and have been unlucky, but they haven’t been taking their chances which is costing them.


Sunderland rock bottom of Championship


Bolton have started putting a run of results together and are now unbeaten in five matches, winning two of those, including against Norwich at the weekend (2-1). They were slightly fortunate to get the win though, as they conceded the better chances (1.89 xG), but it was a win that moved them off the bottom of the table.


Ipswich gained three points by beating Preston 3-0, though they were fortunate to score three goals from the chances they created (1.17 xG), with Infogol calculating just an 11% chance of this happening. Sheffield Wednesday gained a great three points by beating Aston Villa at Villa Park, going 2-0 up early before weathering a storm. Adam Reach’s goal less than a minute into the game got the ball rolling for the Owls, and Villa never recovered.


Another win for the Owls


Wolves comfortably beat Fulham 2-0 on Friday, a pleasing display in which they created good chances once again. Reading made it back-to-back wins on Saturday with a 4-2 triumph over Derby, one of the form teams in the Championship. They were slightly fortunate to score as many as they did from the chances they created though (1.90 xG).


Nottingham Forest, Barnsley and Bristol City all registered home wins, beating QPR (4-0), Birmingham (2-0) and Cardiff (2-1) respectively. These home wins were very much deserved, with all of the home teams creating a lot of good scoring opportunities.


Brentford comfortably beat Leeds 3-1, with the two teams are heading in opposite directions in the league table. The Bees are now unbeaten in nine matches, and continue to create a lot of good chances, whilst Leeds have lost seven of their last nine. The ‘fairest’ result of the weekend was Sheffield United’s 4-1 home win over Hull, a game in which Leon Clarke scored all four. The Blades continue to impress, and once again created a host of chances (4.04 xG).


GW17 Team to BackSheffield United

The Blades continue to impress, and travel to face a Burton team in GW17 that have been doing the opposite. Chris Wilder’s team look good value at 10/11.


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