Championship GW15 Review

Another round of Championship action came to a close in midweek, with plenty of talking points, including the sacking of Simon Grayson. Infogol’s Analyst reviews the action, assessing performances and not just results to paint a clearer picture of where a team is at.

 

 

Actual vs Expected Goal (xG) totals Championship GW15

 

Bristol City won again in midweek, beating Fulham at Craven Cottage, though were fortunate to come away having won 2-0. The quality of chances created by both teams was almost identical (1.39 – 1.41 xG), so each side had the same probability chance of scoring two, with Bristol City getting the luck this time. It is worth noting, though, that the majority of Fulham’s chances and xG came after being 2-0 down.

 

Reading got a much needed win against Nottingham Forest in midweek, though a 3-1 scoreline flattered the Royals. They generated only 1.24 xG, with just a 12% chance they would score three, and their opponents created the better of the chances – 1.40 xG. A fortunate win for the hosts, and their lowly league position accurately reflects their performances.

 

Much-needed win for Reading

 

Burton and Barnsley shared six goals on Tuesday, with the visitors coming away with the spoils (4-2). There were six goals, but only a combined 2.4 xG, as both teams scored their goals from low-quality chances. Barnsley were fortunate to hit the net four times, but won’t be complaining about the result, which moves them up to 19th. Burton’s struggles continue.

 

QPR registered their second successive home win, beating high-flying Sheffield United 1-0. It was an unusual goal that gave them the win, with the Blades’ goalkeeper falling over his own player when catching the ball, and spilling it to Idrissa Sylla who had the simple job of tapping the ball into an empty net – giving his team a deserved win. Wolves deposed Sheffield United as league leaders thanks to a deserved 2-0 win at Norwich, as they continue to create a lot of chances.

 

Wolves go top with deserved win

 

Aston Villa and Brentford both played on Wednesday and both registered 2-0 away wins, beating Preston and Birmingham respectively. Both teams deserved the three points after creating good chances, and more impressively, conceding very few. Sheffield Wednesday also gained a win, beating Millwall 2-1 in a game with plenty of opportunities at both ends.

 

Sunderland were held to a 3-3 draw by Bolton, a result that ultimately cost Simon Grayson his job. There were six goals, but only 2.17 xG between them, so both teams were fortunate to score three times. Derby deservedly edged out Leeds (2-1) to gain their fourth successive win, Sam Winnall scoring two to continue his good run in front of goal.

 

Both Cardiff and Middlesbrough won 3-1 in gameweek 15, beating Ipswich and Hull respectively. Both were deserved results, but Cardiff impressed the most, generating 3.64 xG in what was the ‘fairest’ result of the week.

 

GW16 Team to BackWolves

Wolves top the table, and deservedly so after their performances this season. Fulham have struggled so far this season, and look vulnerable in defence. These two teams meet on Friday night in GW16, and Wolves look good value at 17/20 to get a sixth home win.

 

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